Author: Wang, Jing
Title: Economic policy uncertainty, local business environment and credit
Advisors: Xu, Xinpeng (AF)
Degree: D.B.A.
Year: 2022
Subject: China -- Economic policy
Bonds -- China
Bond market -- China
Hong Kong Polytechnic University -- Dissertations
Department: Faculty of Business
Pages: i, 70, [17] pages : color illustrations
Language: English
Abstract: Does economic policy uncertainty (EPU) influence the cost of credit in China? To answer this question, I develop a novel measure of EPU at the province-level in China using Python techniques in newspaper text scraping of keywords from 29 provincial newspapers. Then, I use this measure to examine how EPU affects bond spread in China's offshore dollar bond market during 2016–2020. I find that EPU has a sizable effect on bond spread. In other words, the higher the EPU a firm faces, the wider the spread of its offshore dollar bond will be. However, I do not find evidence that more favorable provincial business environments (BE) help narrow bond spread. Contrary to the theory of institutional economics wherein institution matters, I find that better provincial BE widens the EPU's impact on bond spread, which seems to be consistent with the theory of rational expectation. Finally, I discuss implications of the findings to both policy makers and market participants.
Rights: All rights reserved
Access: restricted access

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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/12137