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dc.contributorFaculty of Businessen_US
dc.contributor.advisorWei, Xiangdong (AF)en_US
dc.contributor.advisorGuo, Song (COMP)en_US
dc.creatorCui, Yi-
dc.identifier.urihttps://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/12213-
dc.languageEnglishen_US
dc.publisherHong Kong Polytechnic Universityen_US
dc.rightsAll rights reserveden_US
dc.titleMachine learning for financial analystsen_US
dcterms.abstractFinance industry is embracing technology. The use of machine learning (ML) methods for economic research is popular, though it is considered to be a “black box.” This research proposes an ML-based automatic stock selection method that relies on the fundamental analysis approach, and the key is the development of an explainable artificial intelligence (AI) model. Data used for this research are modeled based on A-listed shares data with the China Stock Market & Accounting Research (CSMAR) database. To further explore the potential of this ML method, U.S. stock data from Compustat are also regressed in the research with the exact same methodology, and they produce similarly good results. Data evidence in this research have exhibited the “unbox” process of ML-based fundamental analysis.en_US
dcterms.abstractThe theory behind this ML research is based on financial statement analysis, which dates back to the 1960s. The attributes and distribution of financial statement data are carefully examined in this study using computer-based tools, because ML has significantly expanded the breadth and depth of data usage. Machine is capable of reading through more than 30,000 financial statements at once and memorize them all. Financial statement data is processed in highest efficiency than ever.en_US
dcterms.abstractTwo methods are introduced to enhance the accuracy of prediction.en_US
dcterms.abstract1) Be voracious regarding data, instead of simplifying. Contrary to traditional financial research, ML does not need a simple data model; instead, it requires redundancy to secure the model’s consistency without adding burden to its computing capability. 127 accounts are at least imported for final model.en_US
dcterms.abstract2) Separate data into positives and negatives. Contrary to traditional accounting knowledge, negative numbers in accounts are more frequent than normal. This separation handling significantly improves prediction accuracy.en_US
dcterms.abstractThe output of this research aims to provide 1) insightful predictive data for a specific stock, 2) visual and statistical evidence of its prediction, 3) and a “usable-to-all” solution. In this research, fundamental analysis is used as the cornerstone of stock price prediction, which leaves room for the discussion of investment strategies.en_US
dcterms.extentii, 196 pages : color illustrationsen_US
dcterms.isPartOfPolyU Electronic Thesesen_US
dcterms.issued2022en_US
dcterms.educationalLevelDFinTechen_US
dcterms.educationalLevelAll Doctorateen_US
dcterms.LCSHFinance -- Data processingen_US
dcterms.LCSHMachine learningen_US
dcterms.LCSHHong Kong Polytechnic University -- Dissertationsen_US
dcterms.accessRightsrestricted accessen_US

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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/12213