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dc.contributorGraduate School of Businessen_US
dc.contributor.advisorCheng, Louis (AF)en_US
dc.creatorFong, Chi Wah-
dc.identifier.urihttps://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/12524-
dc.languageEnglishen_US
dc.publisherHong Kong Polytechnic Universityen_US
dc.rightsAll rights reserveden_US
dc.titleCan fund managers time the market and achieve superior risk adjusted returns? Evidence from different categories of Hong Kong equity fundsen_US
dcterms.abstractThis study employs the monthly return data of 51 Hong Kong focused equity funds and tests the market-timing ability of these funds under general and volatile market conditions. The results demonstrate that there is both a positive and a negative market-timing ability under general and volatile market conditions.en_US
dcterms.abstractWhen applying traditional models, namely Treynor and Mazuy’s (1966) Model and Henriksson and Merton’s (1981) Model under general market conditions, all fund groups, except the MPF group compared with the Hang Seng Index, show a negative or insignificant market-timing ability. The MPF group compared with the Hang Seng Index shows a positive market-timing ability.en_US
dcterms.abstractWhen applying additional modified models under volatile market conditions, all fund groups, except the SFC group and MPF group compared with the Hang Seng Index under certain market conditions, show a negative or insignificant market-timing ability. The SFC group and MPF group compared with the Hang Seng Index under certain market conditions demonstrate a positive market-timing ability.en_US
dcterms.abstractThe positive market-timing ability exists more prominently under volatile down market conditions than volatile up market conditions while the negative market-timing ability exists more prominently in volatile up market conditions than volatile down market conditions.en_US
dcterms.abstractThere is more negative market-timing ability than positive market-timing ability under general and volatile market conditions. The MPF group achieved a relatively higher extent of the positive market-timing ability.en_US
dcterms.abstractWe find evidence to support the impact of various regulatory constraints and monitoring on the market-timing ability of different categories of mutual funds under general and volatile market conditions. The greater the extent of regulatory constraints and monitoring, the lower the level of risks the mutual funds take and the greater the market-timing ability is. O&I funds are subject to minimum regulatory constraints and monitoring; their standard deviations of return are the highest, but they show no market-timing ability. SFC funds are subject to a relatively low extent of regulatory constraints and monitoring; their standard deviations of return are between those of the O&I funds and the MPF funds and they show little market-timing ability. MPF funds are subject to the highest extent of regulatory constraints and monitoring; their standard deviations and semi-standard deviations of return are the lowest and their market-timing ability is the highest among all groups.en_US
dcterms.abstractThis study provides evidence that the regulatory constraints and monitoring do not affect fund performance in a negative way. The MPF funds, on average, show superior market-timing ability and risk-adjusted returns. The four MPF funds show positive market-timing ability and their risk-adjusted returns are superior to all O&I funds and all but three SFC funds. One MPF fund showing positive market-timing ability achieves the highest risk-adjusted return among all funds. However, flexibility in investment and operation does not necessarily lead to success. When evaluating returns without taking risks into account, the MPF funds perform better than the O&I funds but slightly worse than the SFC funds.en_US
dcterms.abstractThe performance of the MPF funds is consistent with the requirements of the MPF beneficiaries who are relatively risk-averse and have a relatively long investment horizon.en_US
dcterms.extentxxv, 168 pages : illustrationsen_US
dcterms.isPartOfPolyU Electronic Thesesen_US
dcterms.issued2008en_US
dcterms.educationalLevelD.B.A.en_US
dcterms.educationalLevelAll Doctorateen_US
dcterms.LCSHPension trusts -- China -- Hong Kong -- Managementen_US
dcterms.LCSHPension trusts -- Managementen_US
dcterms.LCSHRisk managementen_US
dcterms.LCSHHong Kong Polytechnic University -- Dissertationsen_US
dcterms.accessRightsrestricted accessen_US

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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/12524