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dc.contributorDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineeringen_US
dc.contributor.advisorMa, Wei (CEE)en_US
dc.contributor.advisorChen, Anthony (CEE)en_US
dc.creatorLi, Mingxi-
dc.identifier.urihttps://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/13799-
dc.languageEnglishen_US
dc.publisherHong Kong Polytechnic Universityen_US
dc.rightsAll rights reserveden_US
dc.titleOvercoming data and model limitations in practical traffic prediction for intelligent transportation systemsen_US
dcterms.abstractIntelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) leverage advanced technologies to enhance the efficiency, safety, and sustainability of transportation networks. A critical component of ITS is spatiotemporal traffic prediction, which enables efficient management and optimization of traffic flow, path planning, and resource allocation. This thesis addresses practical challenges in spatiotemporal traffic prediction, focusing on both model and data limitations.en_US
dcterms.abstractWhile numerous computational models have been developed for general traffic prediction, most operate under idealized assumptions. In practice, real-world traffic prediction and its applications face significant non-idealities. To bridge this gap, we propose novel learning frameworks that integrate AI methodologies with domain knowledge to address critical data and model limitations. Overcoming data and model limitations is crucial for practical traffic prediction. Missing or insufficient data reduces accuracy, while opaque or inefficient models hinder real-world applications. Addressing these challenges improves prediction robustness and interpretability, enabling smarter traffic management. This research bridges theoretical advancements with practical applications, such as dynamic path planning, benefiting urban mobility.en_US
dcterms.abstractTo address these challenges, this thesis investigates advanced methods that mitigate both model and data limitations, ultimately enhancing the accuracy and applicability of spatiotemporal traffic predictions. The thesis begins by examining the issues of data limitations, including sparse data and few archived data. First, the missing observations problem in traffic prediction is addressed through a novel deep learning model with a self-assisted imputation mechanism, which strengthens the robustness of predictions, even when confronted with inconsistent or incomplete datasets. Second, the thesis investigates the few-sample traffic prediction to determine the minimum data requirements for achieving accurate predictions. The deep learning model, equipped with relational inductive biases, effectively captures complex spatiotemporal patterns, making it particularly suited for environments with limited data.en_US
dcterms.abstractThe model limitations are further explored with a focus on improving the interpretability and applicability of traffic prediction models. The interpretability of traffic prediction models is studied. A symbolic regression model is utilized to uncover implicit rules within traffic data variations, while simultaneously enhancing scalability and adaptability within ITS. Additionally, symbolic regression improves computational efficiency by deriving implicit equations that govern traffic dynamics. Furthermore, the integration of traffic prediction with path planning optimization is explored. Spatiotemporal predictions are leveraged to optimize real-time path planning, reducing travel times. This integration allows travelers to make informed decisions based on predicted traffic conditions within an end-to-end architecture, thereby enhancing travelers' mobility.en_US
dcterms.abstractThese approaches are integrated into a unified, machine-learning framework for spatiotemporal traffic prediction under various challenging scenarios, including integration with path planning. By addressing the practical challenges of both model limitations and data limitations, the proposed framework enhances the interpretability, accuracy, and efficiency of traffic prediction. This, in turn, improves traffic management services and enhances travelers' mobility, ultimately making a significant contribution to the advancement of ITS.en_US
dcterms.extentxiv, 153 pages : color illustrationsen_US
dcterms.isPartOfPolyU Electronic Thesesen_US
dcterms.issued2025en_US
dcterms.educationalLevelPh.D.en_US
dcterms.educationalLevelAll Doctorateen_US
dcterms.LCSHIntelligent transportation systemsen_US
dcterms.LCSHTraffic estimationen_US
dcterms.LCSHMachine learningen_US
dcterms.LCSHHong Kong Polytechnic University -- Dissertationsen_US
dcterms.accessRightsopen accessen_US

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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/13799