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dc.contributorFaculty of Health and Social Sciencesen_US
dc.contributor.advisorChan, Wing Chi Lawrence (HTI)en_US
dc.creatorNg, Andrew Tik Ho-
dc.identifier.urihttps://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/14200-
dc.languageEnglishen_US
dc.publisherHong Kong Polytechnic Universityen_US
dc.rightsAll rights reserveden_US
dc.titleUtilization of artificial intelligence in predicting mortality prior to endovascular thrombectomyen_US
dcterms.abstractIntroduction: Endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) is regarded as the standard of care for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients with large vessel occlusion (LVO). However, the mortality rates for these patients remain alarmingly high and access to EVT remains limited in many regions worldwide. Dependable mortality prediction based on timely clinical information is of great importance. Several prediction scores have been developed to predict the functional outcomes but exhibited notable limitations in patient benefit and variable readiness for predicting mortality.en_US
dcterms.abstractMethodology: The study retrospectively reviewed 151 patients who underwent EVT at Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital between April 1, 2017, and October 31, 2023. The primary outcome of the study was 90-day mortality after AIS. The models were developed using two feature selection approaches (model I: sequential forward feature selection, model II: sequential forward feature selection after identifying variables through univariate logistic regression) and six algorithms (logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), and neural network (NN)). Model performance was evaluated by using external validation data of 312 cases and compared with the traditional prediction scores, including Houston Intra-Arterial recanalization Therapy 2 (HIAT2), Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events (THRIVE), and Predicting 90-days mortality of AIS with MT (PRACTICE) scores. Additionally, the benefit of clinical decisions, which was defined as whether EVT would be withheld from patients who would not experience mortality within 90 days, was compared between the most effective algorithm and prediction score.en_US
dcterms.abstractResults: In model I, none of the algorithms achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) exceeding 0.7, with LR achieving the highest AUC of 0.691. In contrast, model II demonstrated a significant improvement, with three algorithms exceeding an AUC of 0.7: LR at 0.712, SVM at 0.705, and NN at 0.702. The HIAT2 score surpassed all others with an AUC of 0.717, making it the only prediction score to exceed the 0.7 threshold. Meanwhile, the SVM using model II achieved an area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) of 0.421, balanced accuracy of 0.618, F1 score of 0.375, Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) of 0.270, and Brier score of 0.143. The HIAT2 score achieved an AUPRC of 0.402, balanced accuracy of 0.704, F1 score of 0.474, MCC of 0.340, and Brier score of 0.143.en_US
dcterms.abstractDiscussion: This study identified the SVM using model II as the best algorithm among the various options. Meanwhile, the HIAT2 score surpassed all algorithms using models I and II with an AUC of 0.717. However, most algorithms provided a greater net benefit than the traditional prediction scores. When assessing the impact of clinical decision-making concerning patient selection for EVT, the SVM algorithm using model II resulted in 38 more patients (38/256, 14.8%) benefiting from EVT than the HIAT2 score.en_US
dcterms.abstractConclusion: Machine learning (ML) algorithms developed by routinely ready variables could offer beneficial insights for predicting mortality in AIS patients undergoing EVT.en_US
dcterms.extentxiii, 166 pages : color illustrationsen_US
dcterms.isPartOfPolyU Electronic Thesesen_US
dcterms.issued2025en_US
dcterms.educationalLevelDHScen_US
dcterms.educationalLevelAll Doctorateen_US
dcterms.accessRightsrestricted accessen_US

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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/14200