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DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributorFaculty of Businessen_US
dc.contributor.advisorMian, Mujtaba (MM)-
dc.contributor.advisorHui, Eddie-
dc.creatorLam, Hei Ling Charles-
dc.identifier.urihttps://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/7975-
dc.languageEnglishen_US
dc.publisherHong Kong Polytechnic University-
dc.rightsAll rights reserveden_US
dc.titleThe "unreal" estate : how does investor sentiment predict the future "real" estate returns of residential property in Hong Kong?en_US
dcterms.abstractThis paper investigates whether investor sentiment affects the pricing of residential property in Hong Kong. Given the high volatility of housing prices in Hong Kong and the cycles of boom and bust, the traditional finance theory may not fully explain the market behavior. I adopt the methodology of Baker and Wurgler (2006) in constructing a new measure of investor sentiment for the Hong Kong property market. Using this measure, I investigate whether sentiment affects property prices in Hong Kong by examining the association between sentiment and future price movement of Hong Kong residential properties. The results confirm that sentiment is negatively related to future returns of Hong Kong residential properties, with a lagged effect from 3 to 12 months. Consistent with the theoretical prediction that sentiment should have stronger effect on more speculative assets, I find that sentiment has a stronger effect on the prices of smaller units in Kowloon district than on larger units in all three Hong Kong districts.en_US
dcterms.extentix, 134 leaves : illustrations ; 30 cmen_US
dcterms.isPartOfPolyU Electronic Thesesen_US
dcterms.issued2013en_US
dcterms.educationalLevelAll Doctorateen_US
dcterms.educationalLevelD.B.A.en_US
dcterms.LCSHReal property -- Prices -- China -- Hong Kong.en_US
dcterms.LCSHInvestments.en_US
dcterms.LCSHHong Kong Polytechnic University -- Dissertationsen_US
dcterms.accessRightsrestricted accessen_US

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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://theses.lib.polyu.edu.hk/handle/200/7975